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Now, regarding your question:
You are right, there is no scenario that could lead to a null-pointer exception being thrown in your code snippet. This is indeed a False-Positive (FP) from the rule java:S2259. You can safely mark the issue as such, and ignore it.
The FP is caused by the Java Analyzer Symbolic Execution (SE) engine not handling integer constants and relationships between integers. This is a known limitation of our SE engine, and having this in mind, it is likely to raise FPs as soon as there is integer-based logic in code. I know for a fact that our C++ engine does support such logic, but Java does not yet. I created the following ticket to track the FP, but I can not guarantee that we will fix the limitation soon, as it requires a significant amount of work to support the feature: SONARJAVA-4258.